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| Received:April 19, 2005Revised:April 17, 2006 |
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| Failure analysis on China power grid based on power law |
| Xiaofeng WENG, Yiguang HONG, Ancheng XUE, Shengwei MEI |
| (State Key Lab of Power Systems, Department of Electrical Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China; Institute of Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100080, China) |
| Abstract: |
| This paper is concerned with the mechanism of blackouts in China power system from the viewpoint of self-organized criticality. By using two estimation algorithms of scaled window variance (SWV) and rescaled range-statistics R/S), this paper studies the blackout data in China power system during 1988-1997. The result of analysis shows that the blackout data of 1994-1997 coincides well with the autocorrelation. Furthermore, it is found that the function of blackout probability vs. blackout size exhibits power law distribution. |
| Key words: Power system Blackout Power law Estimation algorithm |